What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2
Class 4 · 2m75y · Good · 3 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Gore Point (4/9)
Won by: Gore Point (GB) at 1/2F
What we said: Clear top-rated form horse (116), fresh from two wins, proven trip/going, and steaming in from 1.7 to 1.4 confirming market confidence
Class 4 · 2m2f110y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Jasper Glory (11/10)
Won by: God Of Fire (IRE) at 9/4
What we said: Strong yard/jockey course form, solid recent run (3), and market-leading price (6/5) matches its fair odds as the clear best horse in a small field
Class 5 · 2m2f110y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Get The Value (5/1)
Won by: Raffles Nobu (FR) at 15/2 · then Saucats (FR), Hawa Jumeirah (GB)
What we said: 12-runner competitive handicap with no standout, multiple drifters (Renoir, Ugo Bingo, Raffles Nobu) muddying the market and no clear price overlay
Class 4 · 2m4f216y · Good · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Ellerton (6/4)
Won by: It's A Breeze (IRE) at 4/1
What we said: 4-runner handicap already fully priced-in; Ellerton's steam move has closed the gap to fair odds with no residual value, and Class 4 handicaps are a proven weak spot
Class 4 · 3m1f170y · Good · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Muskerry Rock (6/5)
Won by: Muskerry Rock (IRE) at 5/4F · then Balkardy (FR)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 4 · 2m167y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Park Hall (evn)
Won by: Bath Taverness (GB) at 5/1 · then Park Hall (IRE), Thepassingtyphoon (GB)
What we said: Class 4 NH flat maiden with 4 unraced runners and unpredictable form gaps; historically a weak-spot race type for me
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
