Newton Abbot — 19 July 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 0

14:30 John Bircham And Stephen "Jagger" Hayes Memorial Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Did not win

Class 4 · 2m0f167y · Good · 5 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: High Aura (4/6)

Won by: Timely Salute (GB) at 5/2 · then Us Officer (GB)

What we said: clear class edge in a small maiden field, proven course form (23% T@course, a/e 0.81) and sire suits today's good/fast ground

15:05 Happy 80th Birthday Ted Hull Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Placed

Class 4 · 2m0f167y · Good · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Diamond White (11/8)

Won by: Getmyfriend (IRE) at 7/2 · then Diamond White (IRE), Take The Boat (IRE)

What we said: Favourite Diamond White is priced close to fair (36%) with modest trainer/jockey course stats, and no other runner shows a genuine mispricing beyond marginal bookie overlays on longshots

15:40 Dick Oliver At Newton Abbot Races Handicap Steeple Chase

Did not win

Class 5 · 2m4f216y · Good · 8 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Chillhi (40/1)

Won by: It's A Breeze (IRE) · then Emberscombe (IRE), Watchoutitscookie (IRE)

What we said: huge gap between our rating (PR103 vs OR88) and market price, first-time tongue-tie plus a clear bookie overlay (+7.0 vs exchange) signal genuine mispricing

16:15 Brendon Soper Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race

Did not win

Class 5 · 2m2f110y · Good · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Makinbecon (11/4)

Won by: Mi Sueno (IRE) at 4/1 · then Yanka Blue (IRE), Saucats (FR)

What we said: 8-runner handicap with 4+ genuine claims (Son Of Hypnos, Linden Lane, Makinbecon, Yanka Blue all have live cases) and no single price stands out as clear value

16:50 Zero To Exit Handicap Hurdle Race

Did not win

Class 4 · 3m2f105y · Good · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: I Am Spider Man (5/2)

Won by: Jager Time (IRE) · then Time To Bite (IRE)

What we said: 6-runner handicap where RP's top-figure horse (Time To Bite) carries top weight and the market clearly disagrees, ranking him only 4th choice; no price shows a genuine overlay big enough to back either side

17:22 Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Steeple Chase

Did not win

Class 5 · 3m1f170y · Good · 7 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Premier Fantasy (5/1)

Won by: My Girl Katie (IRE) at 2/1F · then Great D'Ange (FR)

What we said: Bookie odds show a genuine overlay vs exchange, and strong trainer/jockey course stats (25%/19%) offset the top-weight concern

Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record