16:42 Celebrating National Racehorse Week Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
We named the winnerClass 4 · 2m2f110y · Good · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: St Just In Time (4/6)
Won by: St Just In Time (GB) at 4/9F
What we said: The clear class alignment in this weak six-runner maiden is set by a horse that has completed all 6 of his hurdle starts and strung together a run of honest placed efforts (4342/3) without ever missing the frame badly. He steps up in trip today but has already shown he stays over an extended test, and with a reliable jumping CV in a maiden field short on proven form, he looks the one they all have to beat.
17:12 Wotton Printers Newton Abbot Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase
Did not winClass 5 · 3m1f170y · Good · 5 ran
Our bet: Premier Fantasy (9/4)
Won by: Flashy Boy (IRE) at 13/8F
What we said: Rated well clear of this field on PR (110) with the form to match, having finished 3rd last time out at this trip and carrying a solid record at today's course and going conditions. He's shouldering top weight but the profile — three completed jumps efforts from four and a consistent recent sequence — makes him the one to beat in a small, workable field.
17:42 Itus Event Support Services Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
We named the winnerClass 5 · 2m0f167y · Good · 7 ran
Our bet: Buxted Reel (9/4)
Won by: Buxted Reel (IRE) at 11/8F · then Most Wanted (IRE)
What we said: Consistent recent placings (8th-2nd-3rd across his last three starts) and a spotless 9-from-9 completion record over jumps make him the most reliable form horse in this novice handicap, and his course-distance figures (3-4-2) suggest today's step up in trip won't be a problem. He's race-fit having run just 19 days ago, unlike several rivals returning from lengthy absences.
18:12 Md Elite Cleaning Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Did not winClass 2 · 2m0f75y · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Gore Point (11/8)
Won by: Breaking Cover (IRE) at 3/1
What we said: the write-up made a claim the racecard does not support, so this pick was withheld
18:42 Compwiz Ltd - It Solutions For Business Handicap Hurdle Race
We named the winnerClass 5 · 3m2f105y · Good · 7 ran
Our bet: My Girl Katie (7/4)
Won by: My Girl Katie (IRE) at 15/8F · then Man Oh Man (IRE)
What we said: Course and distance form reads 12311, meaning she's never finished worse than third at Newton Abbot over this trip, and she arrives back within five days off a course win at the track. That quick turnaround off a victory, allied to a spotless 29-from-29 jumping record, makes her the strongest match for today's conditions among a moderate seven-runner field.
19:12 Marilyn And Millie's Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
We named the winnerClass 4 · 2m4f216y · Good · 5 ran
Our bet: Thickthorn Tom (15/8)
Won by: Thickthorn Tom (IRE) at 5/4F
What we said: Won last time out and finished in the frame in four of his last five starts (-21211), with a proven record at this course (71) and over this trip in similar ground (2121). The step up to this season's fitness peak, 42 days off, and a consistent jumping record (10 of 11 completed) all point to a horse peaking at the right time.
19:42 Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race
Did not winClass 4 · 2m2f110y · Good · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Donnie Azoff (8/11)
Won by: Ellerton (FR) at 5/4
What we said: Ties together the strongest recent form in the race (15-212) with a proven record over course and distance, and he's completed 28 of his last 29 jumps starts, showing the reliability this small, flawed field otherwise lacks. Both principal market rivals carry recent red flags (Beorma pulled up just two days ago, Ellerton was also pulled up last time out), leaving the top-rated, top-weighted runner as the cleanest profile on offer.
