Nottingham — 21 July 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

7 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 1

14:45 £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Classified Stakes (Part Of Racing Excellence)

Did not win

Class 6 · 1m2f50y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Myna (10/3)

Won by: Nymphaea (GB) at 11/4F · then Charencey (IRE)

What we said: small-field apprentice handicap-style classified with 5 legit contenders (Charencey, Myna, Nymphaea, Spaceage, Hello Garda) all close on form, no standout price/edge

15:15 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Placed

Class 4 · 0m6f18y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Too Too Divine (5/4)

Won by: Remi Mae (GB) at 2/1 · then Too Too Divine (IRE), Honky Tonk Girl (GB)

What we said: clear market leader (Too Too Divine, fair ~40%) is short of fair value, and no other runner shows a genuine edge vs its fair% in this open maiden

15:45 Watch Racing TV Now Nursery Handicap Stakes

We named the winner

Class 4 · 0m5f8y · Good To Firm · 3 ran

Our bet: Glamorize (4/6)

Won by: Glamorize (IRE) at 1/4F

What we said: clear top-figure form (201, LTO winner) in a small four-runner nursery, class edge over this trio despite carrying top weight

16:15 Dine In Sherwoods Restaurant Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 6 · 1m1f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Sahm Naif (2/1)

Won by: Takeitorleaveit (IRE) at 15/8F · then Katalyst (GB)

What we said: tight 6-runner handicap with three horses (Sahm Naif, Beauty Generation, Takeitorleaveit) essentially fair-priced and no runner offering value against its fair%

16:45 Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 4 · 1m0f75y · Good To Firm · 5 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Darzah (3/1)

Won by: Luna Celeste (IRE) at 15/2 · then Distant Shore (GB)

What we said: 5-runner handicap with four fillies (Great Mates, Darzah, Distant Shore, Porth Eilian) all holding legitimate claims and no runner priced clearly above its fair%, exactly the "3+ live contenders, no value gap" scenario

17:15 Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 5 · 0m6f18y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Emperor Caradoc (3/1)

Won by: Hoodie Hoo (IRE) at 5/1 · then Logi Bear (IRE), Jenever (GB)

What we said: four runners (Emperor Caradoc, Sixtygeesbaby, Hoodie Hoo, Jenever) all have legitimate claims within a few lbs of each other, and none offers a price that clearly beats its fair%

17:50 Rmg Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 5 · 0m5f8y · Good To Firm · 4 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Come On Over (3/1)

Won by: Coyy (IRE) at 7/2

What we said: 4-runner handicap with tightly-bunched form (RP has top two separated by 1lb), no runner's price clearly beats my own read of its chance

Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record