14:40 Weatherbys Digital Solutions Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
PlacedClass 4 · 1m0f75y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Moonlit Surf (2/1)
Won by: Quisana (IRE) at 7/1 · then Moonlit Surf (GB)
What we said: The improving sequence of finishes (6th, 5th, 4th, 2nd) points to a filly finally ready to break through, and the first-time hood suggests connections are sharpening a horse already knocking on the door. Owen Burrows' yard and Callum Rodriguez combine strongly at this course, backing up what the form book already shows.
15:10 Weatherbys Global Stallions App EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
PlacedClass 4 · 0m6f18y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Lady Leora (6/4)
Won by: Lola De Valence (IRE) at 5/1 · then Lady Leora (FR)
What we said: Lady Leora looks the one to beat on broad trainer strength and a Havana Grey pedigree that loves this quick ground, but she's already sitting at a short enough price that there's no working angle for me, and with three unraced fillies in a seven-runner field plus Blue Sign wearing first-time headgear off a modest 408 form line, there's too much genuine uncertainty to lean against the market with conviction.
15:40 Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 5 · 0m6f18y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Mobadir (2/1)
Won by: Mobadir (IRE) at 6/5F · then Leucothea (IRE)
What we said: Too many moving parts here: Mobadir sits on top of the market with a red-hot yard (24% strike rate) and a sire that loves this quick ground, but three straight finishes of 6th, 6th and 7th give little conviction he's actually working out to beat this bunch. Boleto has course form and a decent trainer angle but his last two starts have gone the wrong way, while Star People's stat-line of 0-5-2 shows a horse on the up and Leucothea has been freakishly consistent everywhere except last time — four different form stories, none of them clean enough to lean on at these prices.
16:10 Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 6 · 0m5f8y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Invincible Crown (9/4)
Won by: Sergeant Mayer (IRE) at 15/8F · then Hurt You Never (IRE)
What we said: Won last time out and has been rock-solid all season (474214), with the drop back to this trip and the good-to-firm ground playing to the family strengths on the dam's side. Ruth Carr's yard is in decent form right now and this gelding looks the most reliable performer in a modest field.
16:40 Weatherbys BetTrends Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 5 · 1m2f50y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Del Corso (5/4)
Won by: Del Corso (GB) at 1/2F
What we said: Won last time out and the form figures read -33421, showing a colt building into this after a string of solid efforts, and with Ed Walker's yard firing at 24% right now the improvement looks set to continue. Being by Dubawi he handles this quick surface well, and with only three rivals to beat in a small Class 5 field he looks the one most likely to see this out best.
17:10 Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 5 · 1m0f75y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Venetian Lion (5/6)
Won by: Venetian Lion (GB) at 5/6F · then Pretty Spirited (GB)
What we said: Improving form figures reading 7-9-6-2 with a clear upward trend, backed by a runner-up effort just seven days ago, and Haggas/Marquand combine to land this sort of leniently-progressive three-year-old in a small home field. Good ground suits, the yard is in form, and there's little depth to the opposition to worry a horse still on the way up.
