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Home/Archive/Redcar — 29 July 2026

Redcar — 29 July 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1

14:05 Racing Tv Free Trial British Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 4 · 0m5f217y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Star Material (11/2)

Won by: Archduke Ferdinand (IRE) at 11/4F · then Kats Bob (GB)

What we said: seven-runner sprint handicap with genuine market confusion: two of the shorter-priced runners (Artagnan, Amorim) are drifting hard while two of the less-fancied ones (First Folio, Archduke Ferdinand) are steaming, and neither cold trainer (Camacho, Spencer at 0% last 14 days) inspires confidence in the steamers either

14:40 Start Your Racing Tv Free Trial Apprentice Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Placed

Class 4 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Vanilla Skies (10/3)

Won by: Areti (GB) at 5/6F · then Vanilla Skies (GB)

What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick

15:15 Stephen And Alan Mulley Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Placed

Class 5 · 1m2f1y · Good To Firm · 9 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Kitsune Power (9/2)

Won by: Lucky Hero (IRE) · then Optician (GB), Kitsune Power (IRE)

What we said: Won last time out to cap a progressive sequence (3-4-2-6-0-1) and the damsire Pivotal line is flagged to relish this quick going, while the light 9-0 weight plus a 3lb claim gets him in nicely against this grade; I make him roughly a 24% chance at 9/2 in a race where no one else has separated on rating. He's still unproven at this trip off a rising mark, but the profile of a horse improving into today's conditions is exactly the kind of case the market can undervalue against RP's rating alone.

15:50 Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Apprentice Fillies' Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications & Engineering Straight Mile Series Qual.)

Did not win

Class 5 · 0m7f219y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Homestrait (4/1)

Won by: Kiss Me My Love (IRE) at 6/1 · then Sandy Craic (IRE)

What we said: four fillies (Wild Dahlia, Sandy Craic, Homestrait, Thornaby Annie) all have genuine claims on recent form and none stands out as clearly underpriced against its fair odds; Wild Dahlia's significant drift adds fitness doubt to an already blanket-matched field.

16:20 Happy Big Birthday Rachel Blizzard Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 6 · 0m5f217y · Good To Firm · 9 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Valsharah (5/1)

Won by: Night Emperor (IRE) · then South Shore Island (IRE), Stormy Pearl (GB)

What we said: Two runner-up finishes in his last two starts give him the clearest upward trajectory in the field, and he's by Dark Angel, a proven fast-ground sire, which fits today's firm going perfectly. The extra headgear (tongue strap plus blinkers) and a 3lb senior claimer take further needle off a horse already sitting top of the ratings on recent RP figures.

16:50 Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap Stakes

We named the winner

Class 6 · 0m7f219y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Pisanello (4/1)

Won by: Pisanello (IRE) at 4/1 · then Tees George (GB)

What we said: Won last time out and quickest of these on the clock, this in-form David O'Meara runner arrives fresh off a solid trainer stint at the track, with a 3lb claim easing the weight burden further. I make him roughly a 25% chance turning that improving form into another win at today's trip, a notch above what his price implies.

Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record