Redcar — 8 August 2026

Class 4 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Yimmna (10/11)

Won by: Raggaas (GB) at 15/8 · then Yimmna (FR), War And Love (GB)

What we said: Cieren Fallon rides for William Haggas, whose Redcar record here is outstanding (30% strike, a/e 1.00), and this filly's placed effort last time plus solid form over today's trip and going points to type. She looks the one to beat on ability alone, with the yard clearly primed to land this sort of maiden.

Class 6 · 0m7f219y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Park Lane Penny (4/1)

Won by: Saxon Grace (IRE) at 3/1 · then Itszaboy (GB), Ice Show (GB)

What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick

Class 4 · 0m7f219y · Good To Firm · 14 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Frankies Dream (4/1)

Won by: Welbury (GB) at 9/1 · then Barley (IRE), Nyman (IRE)

What we said: Fourteen runners in a competitive Class 4 straight-mile handicap with at least five realistic types in the mix: Frankies Dream is racing into form with course pedigree and a going-suited sire line, Illy's Roo arrives as the improving favourite but carries a soft-ground sire profile that clashes with today's firm surface, and Welbury, Capital Guarantee and Nyman all have workable recent form without anything that separates them cleanly at the prices. With the market itself split — money moving both ways on Frankies Dream, Barley and Sea The Power one way and away from Capital Guarantee, Amidst The Chaos and Welbury the other — there's no single case strong enough to back with conviction in a field this deep.

Class 3 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 5 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Democracy Dilemma (11/10)

Won by: Rosenpur (GER) at 12/1 · then Fidelius (GB)

What we said: Democracy Dilemma looks the classiest sort on ratings and sits favourite for good reason, but at 11/10 there's no room left for the weight he's shouldering off top-weight or his patchy recent line of 309604, and the cold trainer form does nothing to reassure; Sports Coach's back-to-back seconds and going-friendly pedigree are tempting but not enough to trust at 5/2 with a trainer running badly right now. Nothing else in this small field stacks up at its price, so there's no runner here I'd back with my own money.

Class 6 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Ellie's de Vega (15/8)

Won by: Doralee (GB) at 3/1 · then Ellie's De Vega (GB)

What we said: Improving three-year-old whose form figures (343352) show a clear upward trend, culminating in a second last time out, and the dam's line is flagged to relish this quick going. Feeler among the pace types too, so it won't be far off a strong gallop, and with the best PR/SR figures in the field (60/60) it looks the one most likely to be finishing on top in this weak Class 6 sprint.

Class 6 · 1m5f218y · Good To Firm · 10 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Dubai Venture (3/1)

Won by: Newport (GB) at 2/1 · then Dubai Venture (IRE), Saratoga Gold (GB)

What we said: self-consistency reruns converged on a different horse than the original pick

Class 5 · 0m5f217y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

Our bet: French Affair (13/8)

Won by: French Affair (IRE) at 13/8F · then Space Bear (IRE)

What we said: Sits clearly on top of this weak field on figures (PR 86 vs low-70s elsewhere) and his form line of 542461 shows he's racing well, with the drop to this trip a good fit after solid recent runs. Both the sire (Mehmas) and damsire (Exceed And Excel) lines point to him thriving on fast ground, and Jennie Candlish is in red-hot form (33% last fortnight) with a strong course record here.