Ripon — 6 July 2026

Class 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran

Won by: Lady Rosalind (GB) at 4/1 · then Eleven Eighty Two (IRE), Travellers Girl (IRE)

What we said: 13-runner 2yo maiden/novice with conflicting draw bias signals (low favoured per key angles, high favoured per course note) and 4+ fillies with legitimate claims (Halcon, Eleven Eighty Two, Sovereign Grace, Travellers Girl) — too messy to isolate an edge.

Class 5 · 1m · Good · 5 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Alterity (11/8)

Won by: Alterity (GB) at 6/5 · then Queen's Hame (GB)

What we said: Proven form at trip on sound ground (length 3rd last time), best T+J course stats and highest strike rate of the confirmed runners

Class 5 · 1m · Good · 9 ran

Won by: Jesmond Dawn (IRE) · then Up The Jazz (IRE), Poet's Dawn (GB)

What we said: 9-runner handicap with 3+ genuine contenders (Glorious Kitty, Up The Jazz, Jesmond Dawn) and no standout angle strong enough to isolate a winner.

Class 4 · 5f · Good · 9 ran

Won by: Reigning Profit (IRE) at 10/3 · then Rock Of England (IRE), Mark's Choice (IRE)

What we said: 9-runner Class 4 sprint handicap with conflicting draw notes (bias text contradicts the favoured/disadvantaged list) and 3+ legitimate contenders (Goyard, Reigning Profit, Tees Aggregates); Class 4 handicaps are a proven leak.

Class 6 · 1m4f10y · Good · 8 ran

Won by: Riddikulus (GB) at 11/1 · then Hansteen (GB), Keep It Classic (GB)

What we said: evens favourite Vietnorm has modest jockey/trainer stats and Picaro/Keep It Classic both have live claims, this is a 3-4 way handicap with no isolating angle.

Class 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran

Won by: Lamlash Bay (GB) at 9/2 · then Brash (IRE), Soul Warrior (IRE)

What we said: 9-runner handicap sprint with genuine claims spread across Tie Fighter, Long Shot, Brash and Northern Tempest, no isolating angle strong enough to trust.