What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 0
Class 4 · 0m5f0y · Good · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Warby (6/5)
Won by: Quillan (IRE) · then Influencer Man (IRE)
What we said: 5-runner race but two market leaders (Quillan steaming, Warby drifting slightly but still strong form "21") split the field with no clear price edge on either at short odds
Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Good · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Indefensible (6/4)
Won by: Master Of Delphi (USA) at 11/1
What we said: Sharp steamer (3.3→2.5) with highest fair% in the field signals genuine market confidence despite scrappy course/jockey stats
Class 3 · 1m4f10y · Good · 7 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Spioradalta (9/1)
Won by: Salamanca City (IRE) at 7/2F · then Spioradalta (GB)
What we said: proven C&D/going winner with a flagged bookie overlay (+1.2 vs exchange) despite a middling last-time run
Class 4 · 1m1f170y · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Yermanthere (3/1)
Won by: Poet's Dawn (GB) at 10/1 · then Yermanthere (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns converged on a different horse than the original pick
Class 4 · 1m · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Jimmy Speaking (7/4)
Won by: Farasi Lane (IRE) at 28/1 · then Garden Oasis (GB)
What we said: 7-runner handicap with 4+ horses (Cadarn, Jimmy Speaking, Farasi Lane, Ben Lawers) holding legitimate claims and no single price compensating for the uncertainty
Class 6 · 1m0f0y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Trucial Pearl (9/4)
Won by: Vega's Virtue (IRE) at 11/4 · then Mohmentous (GB)
What we said: 9-runner Class 6 handicap with 4+ live contenders (Sparkling Pink, Mohmentous, Singarda, Sovereign Bright, Trucial Pearl) rated within a few lbs of each other, no single overlay big enough to cut through
Class 6 · 0m6f0y · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Von Trotter (10/1)
Won by: Act Of Violence (GB) at 100/30 · then Von Trotter (GB), Get Up Everybody (IRE)
What we said: 11-runner Class 6 confined handicap, tightly rated field with 4+ genuine contenders (Von Trotter, Sergeant Mayer, Get Up Everybody, Jack Rabbit Slims) and no price stands out as clear value
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
