Ripon — 27 July 2026

Class 6 · 1m1f170y · Good · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Baldosa (11/4)

Won by: Riddikulus (GB) at 5/2 · then Balmoral Boy (IRE)

What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick

Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Good · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Reflect On Glory (4/1)

Won by: Pure Mint (IRE) at 11/10F · then Green Bay Dream (GB)

What we said: Pure Mint is a strong favourite at odds-on with a genuinely good trainer/course record, but at Evs/51% fair there's no edge to find, and the rest of the field (unproven maidens, Reflect On Glory at fair 18%) don't offer a compelling enough case against it

Class 4 · 1m0f0y · Good · 5 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Fractional (10/11)

Won by: Prosperity (GB) at 4/6F · then Princess Honey Bee (GB)

What we said: Fractional looks the genuine best filly (Haggas, Frankel sire suits good/firm, solid form) but her price already sits right at fair odds, leaving no real mispricing to exploit

Class 5 · 0m6f0y · Good · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Paper View (9/4)

Won by: Paper View (IRE) at 5/2 · then Harley (IRE)

What we said: Won last time out, quick 9-day turnaround, proven at this trip/going, and tops the fair% in the field (29%) with a clean recent form line

Class 3 · 1m0f0y · Good · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Masked Warrior (13/8)

Won by: Command The Stars (IRE) at 9/2 · then Noelan Star (GER)

What we said: six-runner competitive handicap with four legitimate contenders (Command The Stars, Daydreama, Masked Warrior, Noelan Star) all priced close to their fair odds, no clear mispriced runner

Class 6 · 0m5f0y · Good · 6 ran

Our bet: What A Tahoo (11/8)

Won by: Zuffolo (IRE) at 7/2 · then Doralee (GB)

What we said: Rock-solid recent form (433151, two wins) clearly stands out in this weak, bunched Class 6 field, and her true chance looks a touch better than the market's 39% fair read