16:38 Knockcroghery Claiming Hurdle
2m7f180y · Good · 8 ran
Won by: Rocky's Howya (IRE) · then Tullyveery Lad (IRE), Paul Collins (IRE)
What we said: 8-runner claiming hurdle with three first-time headgear angles muddying the read, and top-rated Rocky's Howya at 6/4 offers no value against a field with genuine claimants (Tullyveery Lad, Howdoyalikeherhome) at bigger prices.
17:13 Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle
2m4f125y · Good · 13 ran
Won by: Take The Free (IRE) at 2/1 · then Frankie's Freebie (IRE), Killowen House (IRE)
What we said: 15-runner maiden hurdle with 3+ genuine contenders (Sea Feliz debutant, Frankie's Freebie, Take The Free, Cooladdi steamer) and no confirmed market leader clarity pre-race.
17:48 Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)
1m7f204y · Good · 15 ran
Won by: Cocofred (IRE) at 6/1 · then Astelia (IRE), Game Point (IRE)
What we said: 15-runner maiden hurdle, 4+ horses (Luker's Tipple, Game Point, Astelia, Firebrand) with legitimate claims and no standout edge.
18:18 Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)
1m7f204y · Good · 14 ran
Won by: Like An Ocean (IRE) at 40/1 · then Minella Moon Shine (IRE), Sestini (GB)
What we said: 14-runner maiden hurdle with too many unexposed/debutant types (World As One, Minella Moon Shine, Sestini all with claims) and no reliable angle to isolate a winner.
18:48 SuperValu Co. Roscommon Ladies Day Novice Hurdle
1m7f204y · Good · 6 ran
Won by: Lizzie Twigg (IRE) · then Dani Donadoni (IRE)
What we said: 7-runner novice hurdle with three legitimate contenders (Dani Donadoni, Lizzie Twigg, Endless Talking) all at short/similar prices, no isolating edge.
19:18 Sheehy Meares/Team Earley Handicap Hurdle (0-100)
1m7f204y · Good · 16 ran
Won by: Del Boys Diva (IRE) at 18/1 · then Cool Summer (IRE), Syosset (IRE), Walk Win (FR)
What we said: 19-runner handicap with 5+ legitimate contenders (Patty O'Farrell, Annie's Angel, Cool Summer, Highland Earl, Goin') and no standout edge.
19:50 Roscommon Herald Handicap Hurdle (0-100)
2m7f180y · Good · 16 ran
Won by: Western Model (IRE) at 9/2 · then Moonshine Girl (IRE), Tradonthebay (IRE), Queen Kulina (IRE)
What we said: 19-runner handicap with multiple market drifters, no standout angle, and top pick (Katie's Casper) has poor course/jockey stats to back the RP verdict.
20:22 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race
1m7f204y · Good · 16 ran
Won by: Goodgollymissholly (IRE) at 9/2 · then Madame Du Berlais (IRE), Red Sea Girl (IRE)
What we said: 19-runner mares bumper with 5 unraced/lightly-exposed debutantes, multiple returning-from-injury runners, and market drifting across the board (no steamers) — too much guesswork for a genuine edge.