What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 3
Class 6 · 0m6f213y · Good To Firm · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Call Glory (3/1)
Won by: Amathus (IRE) at 9/4F · then Call Glory (IRE), Shades Of May (GB)
What we said: 10-runner amateur handicap, 4+ horses (Call Glory, Amathus, Margorie, Beau Jardine) closely matched with no standout price value against fair%
Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Soldier Of The Sea (11/8)
Won by: Gentle Hurricane (IRE) at 4/1 · then Soldier Of The Sea (IRE)
What we said: 3 runners (SOTS, Gentle Hurricane, High Tower) all have legitimate claims and none clears fair% by my own read, so no isolated value
Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Topaz (2/5)
Won by: Topaz (IRE) at 2/7F · then Silver Sovereign (GB)
What we said: Topaz is a clear class apart in this weak 5-runner field but at 2/5 (fair 66%) there's no price value, and no rival has a credible case
Class 3 · 1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Arctic Thunder (9/4)
Won by: Arctic Thunder (IRE) at 11/4
What we said: four tightly-matched horses with overlapping form, Arctic Thunder's rating/steam edge is already fully priced in (price implies ~31% vs fair 29%)
Class 6 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Little Miss Magic (7/2)
Won by: Dottie Diamond (GB) at 3/1 · then Dreambird Dolly (GB), Follow My Heart (GB)
What we said: 8-runner handicap with four horses (Dottie Diamond, Little Miss Magic, Follow My Heart, Cabeza De Llave) rated within a few pounds and each priced close to its own fair%, no genuine mispricing found
Class 5 · 1m6f44y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Curran (evn)
Won by: Curran (IRE) at 4/5F
What we said: 4-runner handicap but Curran is odds-on-ish favourite carrying big weight with a going/pedigree flag against him, and rivals all have their own holes; no clean value case
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
