What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 3
Class 5 · 1m1f209y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Imperial Cult (7/4)
Won by: Imperial Cult (IRE) at 11/8F · then King's Castle (IRE)
What we said: competitive 6-runner handicap with 3 legitimate claims (Harlington, Imperial Cult, King's Castle) and no price clearly compensating for the uncertainty
Class 4 · 0m5f10y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Elpeeare (11/2)
Won by: Not My Type (GB) at 4/1 · then Delighfully Hot (GB), Downonmainstreet (IRE)
What we said: favoured high draw (7) fits the straight-5f bias, already has a placed run and sits in a hot George Scott yard, with 11/2 offering a bit of cushion over her ~15% fair price
Class 4 · 1m6f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Personal Best (6/4)
Won by: Personal Best (GB) at 10/11F · then Knight Templar (GB)
What we said: competitive 6-runner handicap; Personal Best steamed to fav but fair 36% roughly matches its true chance, no clear value edge
Class 4 · 1m1f209y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Our bet: Hot And Cold (11/8)
Won by: Cyrano De Bergerac (IRE) at 15/8 · then Blue Noon (IRE)
What we said: clear top-rated form (90 vs 82 next best), improving profile, fresh off 13 days, and steamer confirms market agrees
Class 4 · 1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Cristo (19/10)
Won by: Swiped (GB) at 9/2 · then Sea Suite (IRE)
What we said: Tops the speed figures by a clear margin with form trending upward and steam confirming market support
Class 5 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Lyra Lea (2/1)
Won by: Lyra Lea (GB) at 11/8F · then Norfolk Blue (IRE)
What we said: 6-runner competitive handicap with 3-4 legitimate claims (Lyra Lea, Berkshire Boom, Unionville, Norfolk Blue), no runner's price clearly exceeds my own read of its chance
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
