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Home/Archive/Sandown — 29 August 2026

Sandown — 29 August 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

7 races · we bet 5 · we named the winner in 3

13:40 Tattersalls £40,000 Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)

We named the winner

Class 2 · 0m7f0y · Good · 9 ran

Our bet: Tall Trees (9/4)

Won by: Tall Trees (GB) · then Victoria Night (IRE), Flower Show (IRE)

What we said: Improving form figures (5-8-2-3) with the last two runs a close-up 2nd and 3rd, and she already boasts solid course and course/distance form (course 3, dist 523) which the debutants in this field lack. Jamie Spencer takes over and the drop back into a smaller maiden after facing tougher company suggests she's fairly treated.

14:15 Zyn Frontrunner Finish Handicap Stakes

We named the winner

Class 2 · 1m1f209y · Good · 13 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Kokbastau (7/2)

Won by: Kokbastau (GB) at 9/2 · then Alcarath (IRE), Stem (IRE)

What we said: Thirteen runners in a competitive Class 2 handicap with too many live cases: Kokbastau arrives on the back of a facile win but has never raced on good ground in four starts, Alcarath returns from 78 days off but has solid course-and-trainer form, and Crown Of Oaks, My Love Is King and Stem all carry credible recent form too — nothing separates them cleanly enough at the prices on offer.

14:50 Betmgm Atalanta Stakes (Group 3)

Did not win

Class 1 · 1m0f0y · Good · 10 ran

Our bet: Calendar Girl (10/3)

Won by: Love Dynasty (FR) at 33/1 · then Noche Clasica (IRE), Moon Target (GB)

What we said: Unbeaten-look form figures (1211-1) with the most recent win coming at this exact course and distance just 21 days ago, and a PR of 112 that tops this field on ability. Owen Burrows has her progressing nicely at three, dropping into calmer waters than her festival form suggests, and the manageable weight-for-age scale suits a filly clearly still improving

15:30 Betmgm Solario Stakes (Group 3)

Did not win

Class 1 · 0m7f0y · Good · 10 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Rock Montreal (9/4)

Won by: Alfred Wallace (GB) at 11/4 · then Dover Street (IRE), Breacher (GB)

What we said: a genuinely messy Group 3 with five plausible types: Rock Montreal is unbeaten and fancied by a red-hot Varian/Buick combination but that's from a single run and the lowest recorded figure in the race, Alfred Wallace owns the best figure-work (PR110, SR92) yet was only fourth of ten last time, and Mia Fantasia, Sonic Angel and Sergei Diaghilev all arrive with credible unbeaten-or-near-unbeaten form of their own — nothing separates them cleanly enough at the prices, and this venue has been a weak one on the record (4/15).

16:05 Handicap Stakes

Placed

Class 3 · 7f · 10 ran

Our bet: Desert Shadow (15/8)

Won by: Storm Free (GB) at 12/1 · then Desert Shadow (GB), Defence Minister (GB)

What we said: Won last time out over this exact course and distance just 23 days ago, and the form line -05211 shows a horse peaking with back-to-back wins into today's return; Oisin Murphy continues aboard for Saeed bin Suroor with the visor that clearly worked last time kept on. Course-and-distance form plus the visible upward trajectory makes this the strongest form case in the race.

16:35 Betmgm Real Deal Nursery Handicap Stakes

We named the winner

Class 4 · 0m7f0y · Good · 8 ran

Our bet: Victory Gold (3/1)

Won by: Victory Gold (IRE) at 7/4F · then Noble Prince (GB)

What we said: Top-rated form horse in this nursery (PR106) with a clear upward trend, finishing 1st and 2nd in his last two starts and only beaten into 2nd in a small field of four last time; Oisin Murphy taking the ride for bin Suroor adds further confidence, and the market has shortened him into 3/1 from a longer overnight price. He looks the strongest form profile in a field where none of his rivals match his rating.

17:10 Gamble Responsibly At Betmgm Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 4 · 0m5f10y · Good · 10 ran

Our bet: Hypnotised (5/2)

Won by: Rosario (IRE) at 6/5F · then Lipsink (IRE), Havana Smile (GB)

What we said: Ran a clean, progressive race last time in the very same conditions here (2nd in a 12-runner field over course and distance on good-to-firm), and that C&D form line is the strongest in the race. The overall form figures (41-722) show a horse in good order with the scope to go one better up in class-appropriate company today.

Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record