What we said: damsire going flag fires on good turf, Joao Moreira (21% course strike rate, a/e 0.83) is a major booking, strong recent form 11215 suits the conditions, and T+J combo 22% leads the field
12:40Lapis Lazuli Handicap (Class 3) (Course A) (Turf)
1m2f · Good
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely:Family Jewel
What we said: Joao Moreira boasts a standout 21% course strike rate (a/e 0.83) and the T+J combo at 19% leads the field; OR72 well-handicapped off recent 1st and carries less than the top weights conceding significant weight.
13:15Premier Plate (Group 3) (Handicap) (Course A) (Turf)
What we said: rock-solid recent form (244141), wide draw 12 manageable at 1m1f, good going suits, David Eustace trainer firing at 10% with strong a/e and Atzeni a reliable course partner