What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
8 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2 · results held for 7
2m1f90y · 11 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Manoir De Mirande (6/5)
Won by: Manoir De Mirande (FR) at 3/1 · then Whats New (IRE), Bobby Kirova (GB)
What we said: Clear class edge in a maiden field (form 323-37, Elliott/Kennedy combo, fair odds 12/7=37%) with no rival showing comparable proven ability
2m1f90y · Good To Firm · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Returning Officer (2/1)
Won by: Unknown Fortune (IRE) at 25/1 · then Rosenborg (FR), Brother Hollie (IRE)
What we said: 12-runner maiden hurdle with two fancied types returning from 260+ day layoffs and a big market swing to a poorly-proven steamer; too many live unknowns to isolate a price edge
2m1f90y · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Manoir De Mirande
What we said: 14-runner maiden hurdle with four Gordon Elliott stablemates splitting the market, no reliable single angle
2m1f90y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Splashing Out (9/2)
Won by: Crystabel (IRE) at 5/1 · then Albatala (IRE)
What we said: 10-runner mares handicap with four drifters and no standout market or form signal converging on one horse
2m1f90y · Good · 12 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Wolf Prince (13/2)
Won by: Wolf Prince (IRE) at 13/2 · then Dairy Force (IRE), Phoenix Arizona (IRE)
What we said: Clear rating dominance (137 vs 123 next best) plus first-time cheekpieces on a horse already in career-best form, with a genuine bookie overlay vs exchange flagging value at 7/1
2m4f116y · Good To Firm · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Go To Town (3/1)
Won by: Lilac Lady (IRE) at 8/1 · then Poppycon (IRE), Dream Shaper (IRE)
What we said: 18-runner handicap hurdle, no standout edge, several with legit claims (Go To Town, Saint Peregrine, Ladiam, Poppycon)
3m1f121y · Good To Firm · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Le Grand Vert (6/1)
Won by: Wild Mandate (IRE) at 12/1 · then Cornmarket (IRE), Justatan (FR)
What we said: 17-runner marathon handicap hurdle, extreme heat/firm ground, multiple fitness unknowns (168d+ absences) — too chaotic for a reliable angle
2m2f59y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Moyneard (5/1)
Won by: Circus Hill (IRE) at 15/8F · then Clovelly Charm (IRE), Carleys Lilly (IRE)
What we said: 12-runner mares maiden with 4 legit contenders (Circus Hill, Moyneard, Clovelly Charm, Churchfield Annie) and several unexposed debutants, no price stands out as value vs fair%
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
