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Home/Archive/Southwell — 5 July 2026

Southwell — 5 July 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

8 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 0 · results held for 0

14:02 Virgin 512 Handicap

Class 5 · 1m13y · Standard

What we said: 14-runner handicap with 4+ live contenders (Kalokalo, Areti, Lillie Margot, Alpine Culture) and a steamer (Kalokalo) already odds-on favourite at 4/1, no isolating draw/pace angle at Southwell AW.

14:32 Handicap (Div 1)

Class 5 · 7f14y · Standard

What we said: 10-runner Class 5 handicap with 4+ legit contenders (Tennessee Gold, Onemorenomore, Vitalline, Anthropologist) and mixed market signals (drifting favourite-type prices, no clean steamer to trust).

15:05 Handicap (Div 2)

Class 5 · 7f14y · Standard

What we said: 9-runner handicap with 4+ credible claims (King Of Fury, Pickersgill, Reputation, Noble Guest despite drift) and both market steamer signals pointing negative, no isolating angle.

15:40 Virgin 512 EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Class 5 · 7f14y · Standard

What we said: 14-runner novice handicap-style field with 4+ fillies (Cixi, Hamda's Joy, Clementines Star, Royale Union) holding legitimate claims, and the market is sending contradictory signals (Cixi steaming but Royale Union and Miss Gallant drifting hard).

16:15 Handicap

Class 3 · 4f214y · Standard

What we said: 9-runner sprint handicap with 3+ legit claims (Kylian, Naana's Sparkle, Canon's House, Buzz Box) and this is exactly my leaky 50-59% band territory.

16:50 Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap

Class 5 · 1m6f21y · Standard

What we said: 8-runner handicap with three legit contenders (Senor Cortez, John Galt, Premier) all shortening or well-fancied, no standout edge to isolate a winner.

17:25 Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Class 4 · 1m3f23y · Standard

What we said: competitive 8-runner handicap with Forever Penywern, Club Class, Jupiter Ammon and Northwest Passage all holding legitimate claims, no standout value at current prices.

17:55 Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Class 3 · 2m102y · Standard

What we said: 5-runner handicap but market is split (steamer NYM vs drifter Sixpack) with three genuine contenders (Sax Appeal, Boatswain, NYM) on close form, no isolating angle.

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