Southwell — 3 September 2026

Class 6 · 0m4f215y · Standard · 7 ran

Our bet: What A Tahoo (9/4)

Won by: Startling (GB) at 1/1F · then Mimime (IRE)

What we said: Comes into this off a course-and-distance win just 12 days ago on the same going, and her overall form line (315141) shows a filly who's already proven she can win at this level under exactly today's conditions. The 3lb claimer and a yard/rider combo that's been quietly effective here add a touch more confidence to back up that fresh course success.

Class 4 · 0m4f215y · Standard · 7 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Black Orchid (1/4)

Won by: Elyam (GB) at 11/8 · then Black Orchid (GB)

What we said: Two runs at this exact course/distance/going both produced runner-up finishes, the profile reads as a horse still finding the winning line rather than one going backwards, and the yard's 24% strike-rate here (a/e 1.43) backs up that pattern. Dropping back to this trip for the third time with the same key form line intact makes her the standout in a moderate seven-runner novice.

Class 5 · 1m4f15y · Standard · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Much (2/1)

Won by: Mr Moonshine (IRE) at 100/30 · then Roker Roar (IRE)

What we said: This is a workable card but not a betable one: Much heads the market on solid recent finishing form dropping back slightly in trip, Grand Pier arrives fresh off a course win but is stepping up close to 4f in distance for the first time, and Roker Roar/Al Maslool both have plausible placing form without anything that separates them cleanly at the prices on offer. With four or five runners carrying genuine claims and no single case standing out enough to trust with real money, the honest read here is to sit it out.

Class 3 · 1m4f15y · Standard · 8 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Castlemont (4/7)

Won by: Castlemont (IRE) at 1/3F · then Walking On Stars (IRE)

What we said: Unbeaten for Charlie Appleby after a taking debut win (1/9) at Newmarket, and the step up to 1m4f looks a natural progression for a New Bay colt bred for stamina, with Billy Loughnane retained for the ride. The class gap to this field is obvious and the market has this right, but at 4/7 it's still the shortest way to a winning ticket in a race with no other standout.

Class 4 · 1m0f14y · Standard · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: The Third Star (9/4)

Won by: The Third Star (GB) at 7/4F · then Great Mates (GB), Borjina (GB)

What we said: The Third Star, Chantelle and Luminare all arrive with genuine claims inside a tight spread of prices, and nothing separates them enough to make one a confident single bet: The Third Star carries the best figure work (PR 83) and a solid recent placing sequence, but Chantelle steps up in a first-time visor for a red-hot yard at this course and Luminare has strung together three straight places for Haggas — three fillies, three live cases, no standout.

Class 4 · 1m0f14y · Standard · 9 ran

Our bet: Hot And Cold (9/4)

Won by: Hot And Cold (GB) · then Hale End (IRE), Kaleido (GB)

What we said: Dropping back to today's trip is a big plus: her record at this distance reads 6-1-1-2 across four runs, including two wins, and last time out's below-par 5th came up at 10f, a trip too far. She's clearly the classiest horse in the race on PR (89) and the market has firmed her up into the drop back in distance, which fits the profile.

Class 5 · 0m7f15y · Standard · 9 ran

Our bet: Korbut (9/4)

Won by: Indefensible (IRE) at 17/2 · then Korbut (GB), Lieutenant Kije (GB)

What we said: Her recent form reads 522221 with a game front-running win last time out at this same trip, and the step back from good to standard ground hasn't stopped her placing in five of six starts at the distance. Sir Mark Prescott and Luke Morris combine at a strong clip here, and she's the one with the class edge and the tactical speed (pace figure 1.88) to dictate from a workable draw.

Class 4 · 0m6f17y · Standard · 12 ran

Our bet: Modern Times (7/2)

Won by: Papa Cocktail (IRE) at 17/2 · then Kirkdale (IRE), Moving Force (IRE)

What we said: Rattled off back-to-back wins including a course success last time out at today's trip and going, and the step up to first-time visor adds a fresh angle to a horse already progressing fast. The course form line (491) shows he handles this track well, and connections' trainer/jockey combo here sits at a healthy 19% (127) which backs up the visual case.