What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 3
Class 3 · 2m0f70y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Obsessedwithyou (11/10)
Won by: Edelak (IRE) at 4/6F
What we said: 4-runner novice hurdle boils down to a genuine two-horse race (Edelak vs Obsessedwithyou), both priced close to fair with no value gap, and Edelak's last-time fall clouds the read
Class 4 · 2m3f98y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Whatyouwaitingfor (15/8)
Won by: Whatyouwaitingfor (IRE) at 1/1F · then Duel Au Soleil (FR)
What we said: competitive 5-horse handicap chase, all runners priced in line with their de-vigged fair%, no genuine mispricing found
Class 5 · 2m2f148y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Stellarmasterpiece (13/8)
Won by: Stellarmasterpiece (FR) at 10/11F · then Northern Rose (IRE)
What we said: competitive 7-runner handicap, four runners (Get A Superstar, Stellarmasterpiece, Northern Rose, Mystic Wind) all have legitimate claims and no price shows real value vs fair%
Class 4 · 2m6f7y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Charging Thunder (11/8)
Won by: Charging Thunder (GB) at 6/5F · then Parikarma (IRE)
What we said: competitive 5-runner handicap with genuine case for 3+ (Charging Thunder, Lion Of The Desert, Campaign Trail) and no clean price overlay standing out
Class 2 · 2m0f213y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Captain Cool (7/4)
Won by: Sir Tivo (FR) at 10/1 · then In The Air (FR)
What we said: genuinely open 5-runner handicap chase, RP itself flags "low confidence," four of five runners carry legitimate claims and no price offers a compensating edge
Class 5 · 3m2f83y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Artiste d'Ainay (5/4)
Won by: East Eagle (IRE) at 8/1
What we said: Clear top-rated on form/figures with a strong recent scoring record and red-hot trainer, but price already reflects that edge with no overlay
Class 5 · 2m2f148y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Lucy The Wire (6/4)
Won by: Roarin' Success (GB) at 15/8
What we said: Only 4 runners but the top two (Lucy The Wire, Basilette) are priced right at their fair%, no market/price disagreement to exploit, and top-weight complicates the formbook
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
