17:35 Racing Tv Club Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Did not winClass 4 · 2m6f7y · Good To Firm · 2 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Porcupine Bank (4/9)
Won by: Fine Thing (GB) at 9/4
What we said: A gelding with a 3-1-1-3 recent form line including two wins for the powerful Gordon Elliott yard, and a clean sheet with all four hurdle starts completed cleanly. The step up to 2m6f is untested for him but his consistent placing and completion record give him the stronger form profile of these two against a mare who has only won once from a modest field.
18:06 Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle Race
We named the winnerClass 4 · 2m6f7y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Our bet: Rebel Tribesman (9/4)
Won by: Rebel Tribesman (IRE) at 2/1F · then Kittys Glance (GB)
What we said: Top-rated in the field on PR118 with the strongest recent form line (122-12), a perfect 4/4 jumping record, and a clear tracking pace style that suits a small five-runner field. He's proven at today's trip on this attempt and the class dynamics favour the horse carrying the highest figure into a shallow handicap.
18:36 Brian And Sheila Vaughan Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
We named the winnerClass 2 · 2m3f98y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Captain Cool (3/1)
Won by: Captain Cool (IRE) at 9/4F · then Crebilly (IRE)
What we said: Six fairly-matched form horses here and the market has largely got this right: Captain Cool and Sir Tivo both come in on solid recent placing and course form but neither is priced any better than what the formbook already says, and Bagheera Ginge's drop back in trip looks shrewd without being decisive. Crebilly has never raced on good-to-firm in 22 outings and Magistrato returns from 152 days off carrying a poor record after such breaks, so both are easy to leave alone, but that just leaves a trio of runners priced close to their true chance with no standout angle to lean on.
19:06 Quinnbet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
We named the winnerClass 3 · 2m6f125y · Good To Firm · 3 ran
Our bet: Dunkerque (6/5)
Won by: Dunkerque (DEN) at 11/8F
What we said: Unbeaten in four of his last five starts including a facile win last time, he's now stepped up in trip to a track and ground he's already handled, with a spotless 16-from-16 jumping record underlining his reliability over fences. Both market rivals carry a flat "never run on good-to-firm" line, while Dunkerque has already proven himself on this exact going, giving him a tangible conditions edge in a tiny three-runner field.
19:36 Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple Chase
We named the winnerClass 5 · 3m3f119y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Our bet: Glenmalure Flyer (15/8)
Won by: Glenmalure Flyer (IRE) · then Illogical Logic (FR)
What we said: Top-rated in this field on figures with a spotless jumping record (12 of 12 completed), and her recent form line of 3-5-1-1-3 shows she's racing well right now for a yard in form. She takes on more weight than most here but looks the class of a modest six-runner field and the extended trip should suit a stayer of her profile.
20:06 Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race
Did not winClass 5 · 2m70y · Good To Firm · 12 ran
Our bet: Northern Rose (11/2)
Won by: Reteti (GB) at 100/30F · then Jet Patrol (IRE), Mayday Games (IRE)
What we said: Won last time out over today's course, trip and going just 25 days ago, backing up quickly off the back of that form, and her jumping record of 24 clear rounds from 27 starts shows a reliable hurdler who gets the job done. The repeat conditions and quick turnaround suggest she's fit and firing right now, which is the strongest form angle in this field.
