17:05 Seamus Byrne Electrical Steeplechase
Did not win2m5f180y · Good · 5 ran
Our bet: Rocky's Diamond (11/8)
Won by: Anyway (GER) at 13/2 · then More Coko (FR)
What we said: Won last time out at today's C&D-adjacent test, carries the highest rating in the field by some way, and his 15-from-16 completion record backs up a genuine class edge over this smaller field. The drop in trip plays to his quick early pace, and a 5lb claimer freshens the weight without asking anything new of him.
17:40 I.P.R.S. Handicap Steeplechase
Did not win2m5f180y · Good · 17 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Not So Serious (11/1)
Won by: Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB) at 14/1 · then Set The Tone (IRE), Menas Miracle (IRE)
What we said: Seventeen runners with draws still unresolved and half a dozen genuine claims (Not So Serious fresh off a win and fitted with cheekpieces, Our Zebo returning from a huge layoff off a big rating, Thewaybackhome improving into a trip cut, Menas Miracle up in weight but with course form, Shantou Show and Corkbeg both drifting in the market) makes this the kind of sprawling handicap where no single horse isolates itself from the pack. With this many live-looking form lines and no pace or trip angle that clearly favours one of them, there's no honest single-horse case to back with real money here.
18:15 Majestic Hotel Maiden Hurdle
Placed2m0f80y · Good · 13 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Chasing Blues (2/1)
Won by: Simple Things (IRE) at 6/4F · then World As One (GER), Chasing Blues (IRE)
What we said: Runner-up last time at this exact trip and on this same going, and the step forward from 8th to 2nd across his last two runs at today's conditions gives a genuine form trajectory to latch onto. He's proven he handles 16.5f on good ground fresh off a 22-day break, and De Bromhead/O'Keeffe give him a capable book.
18:50 John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle
Did not win2m0f80y · Good · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Del Boys Diva (11/4)
Won by: Small Bucks (IRE) at 17/2 · then Rare Times (IRE), Tingarran Express (IRE)
What we said: the write-up made a claim the racecard does not support, so this pick was withheld
19:25 Walsh Butler Electrical Mares Maiden Hurdle
Placed2m5f0y · Good · 16 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Hello Below (2/1)
Won by: Kenny's Jewel (IRE) at 17/2 · then Room For One More (IRE), Hello Below (IRE)
What we said: Clearly the classiest form in this maiden field, with two runner-up finishes (2266) showing she handles a truly run race, and she's the one horse here with a demonstrated engine rather than a string of tailed-off efforts. The step up in trip is the one query given her sole run there was a 6th, but the calibre gap to this field is wide enough to take the short price.
19:55 Comeragh Veterinary Kilmackthomas Handicap Hurdle
Did not win2m5f0y · Good · 12 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Tolka Row (3/1)
Won by: Moonlight Paradise (IRE) at 12/1 · then Mighty Berkshire (IRE), Boston Beach (IRE)
What we said: Won last time out from off the pace and his stats at today's track and ground read strongly, with a 2P1 record on this going and a solid course scorer among his sparse but positive C&D data. The step back in trip mirrors the pattern that's worked for him this campaign, and Josh Williamson's 3lb claim takes a shade off a workable weight.
20:25 Clem Jacob Hire Flat Race
Did not win2m0f80y · Good · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Mountain Sky (11/8)
Won by: Long'way (FR) at 4/5F · then Tale Of Intrigue (IRE)
What we said: Rated well clear of this field on form (PR 108 against a next-best of 89), with a form line of 5-2-2 showing genuine improvement over the last two starts. The step back to good ground plays to the Dubawi/Dansili pedigree, both flagged as working best away from soft, and the tongue strap addition suggests the yard is refining a horse already knocking on the door.