What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
Class 4 · 2m3f207y · Good · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Fine Thing (5/2)
Won by: Fine Thing (GB) at 15/8F · then Diamond Grace (FR), Midnight Pass (GB)
What we said: 9-runner maiden hurdle with 3+ horses (Fine Thing, Moonshine River, Cougarontheloose) showing legitimate form claims and no runner offering a genuine price edge vs fair%
Class 5 · 1m7f168y · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Character Testing (10/1)
Won by: Lady Fortune (IRE) at 10/1 · then Golden Circet (IRE), Karthala (GB)
What we said: 13-runner Class 5 handicap hurdle with 5+ horses on similar/plausible form (Character Testing, Golden Circet, Karthala, Giddyupadingdong, Louie The Legend) and a top-weight carrying a big concession — too open to isolate
Class 3 · 3m0f10y · Good · 4 ran
Won by: Sunray Shadow (GB) at 5/4F
What we said: 4-runner handicap but favourite Sunray Shadow is odds-on with no standout edge beyond market consensus, and this isn't a short-field non-handicap type situation
Class 4 · 1m7f168y · Good · 6 ran
Won by: King Ulanda (IRE) at 17/2 · then Machete Beach (GB)
What we said: 6-runner handicap hurdle with four horses (Romany Brown, King Ulanda, Machete Beach, Ip Up) rated within a few lbs of each other on official figures, no single price clearly overlaid against fair% once layoff/course risk is weighed
Class 4 · 2m4f0y · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Le Gentleman (6/4)
Won by: Pep Talking (GB) at 5/2 · then My Friend Sean (IRE)
What we said: 5-runner handicap but favourite Le Gentleman is short at 6/4 with little margin for error, and Theonlywayiswessex's form/price don't offer clear value against fair odds
Class 5 · 2m7f70y · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Camshaft (2/1)
Won by: Belladinotte (IRE) at 17/2 · then Theirshegoes (IRE), Camshaft (IRE)
What we said: Class 5 mares' handicap, 10 runners, no standout: Camshaft is the market pick but carries top form only lightly tested at this trip/weight, and others (Kayla's Friend, Grey Gamble) have live claims too
Class 5 · 1m7f168y · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Redbarn (6/4)
Won by: The Elusive Pike (IRE) at 10/1 · then Redbarn (IRE), Downtown Nashville (IRE)
What we said: NH Flat maiden-type race, thin form lines on most runners, favourite Redbarn short at 6/4 with no clear overlay elsewhere
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
