What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
8 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 2
2m150y · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Game Point (11/10)
Won by: Highland Realm (IRE) at 7/2 · then Chasing Blues (IRE), Game Point (IRE)
What we said: 13-runner maiden hurdle with a short favourite (Game Point) but at least 3 other runners (Chasing Blues, Highland Realm, Penny Express) with genuine claims and no runner priced clearly wrong vs its fair%
2m4f · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Red Sea Girl (5/2)
Won by: Are You Around (IRE) at 6/1 · then Thesilverbridle (IRE), Miss Jocund (IRE)
What we said: competitive mares maiden with 4+ live contenders (Red Sea Girl, Are You Around, Lilannbee, Miss Jocund) and three key runners returning from 100+ day layoffs adding real fitness uncertainty
2m4f0y · Good · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Empire Walk (3/1)
Won by: Ocean Murphy (GB) at 9/1 · then Costanuci (IRE), Ladiam (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner ladies' handicap hurdle, no standout: Empire Walk is favourite but form is patchy (52P-34), and 3+ others (Sean Mc, Costanuci, Harpy Eagle) have credible claims with no price clearly wrong against my read
3m · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: True Harmony (4/1)
Won by: Set The Tone (IRE) at 5/1 · then Gerrys Wish (IRE), Hob's Angel (IRE)
What we said: 13-runner low-grade handicap hurdle with four first-time headgear changes, two long-layoff returners, and a top-weight conceding lumps of weight — too many confounding variables for a reliable read
3m · Good · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Fire Coral (10/3)
Won by: Phildante (IRE) · then Georgia Celena (IRE), Cruisin Susan (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner handicap hurdle with 3+ legitimate claims (Fire Coral, Clever Court, Trixaboutmaisie) and no standout price mismatch, plus Fire Coral's sire profile (soft-ground preference) clashes with today's firm underlying going
2m150y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Backinabit (5/2)
Won by: Esticky End (IRE) at 16/1 · then Rightfolksplease (IRE), Boola Times (IRE)
What we said: 13-runner competitive handicap with multiple legitimate claims (Backinabit, Hatfield Hammer, Sidiriya, Esticky End all plausible), no standout value
2m0f150y · Good · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Del Boys Diva (10/3)
Won by: Del Boys Diva (IRE) at 100/30F · then Syosset (IRE), Avandra (IRE)
What we said: competitive 10-runner handicap, no runner shows clear value vs fair%, and the market favourite (Del Boys Diva) carries a real top-weight concern
2m0f150y · Good · 14 ran
Our bet: Cotswold Blue (15/8)
Won by: Cotswold Blue (FR) at 5/4F · then Silk Buds (IRE), Bredas Pearl (GB)
What we said: Consistent recent form (22) for a strong Mullins yard clearly stands out in a field otherwise packed with debutants and long-layoff types
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
