What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
Class 4 · 0m6f12y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Regal Tiger (9/4)
Won by: Keep Kicking On (IRE) at 3/1 · then Regal Tiger (GB)
What we said: 6-runner nursery with fair-odds priced tightly across three legitimate contenders (Regal Tiger, Keep Kicking On, Arabica Queen), RP's own top pick carries a cold trainer and a negative bookie-flag, no runner shows genuine value vs FAIR%
Class 5 · 0m6f12y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Lady Rosalind (15/8)
Won by: Polyxena (IRE) at 40/1 · then Princess Ivy (IRE), Soeur De Flash (GB)
What we said: Proven winner last time out for a leading yard/jockey combo, drawn well, and clearly top-rated in the field (fair 29% vs next best 17%)
Class 3 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Rhythmic Charge (6/1)
Won by: Castlemont (IRE) at 15/8 · then Lord D'or (GER), Cool Girl (FR)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 4 · 0m6f12y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Amazonian Dream (11/8)
Won by: Amazonian Dream (IRE) at 7/4F · then Lequinto (IRE), Buccabay (IRE)
What we said: 8-runner Class 4 sprint with 4+ legitimate contenders (Buccabay, An Outlaw's Grace, Amazonian Dream, Lequinto) tightly bunched on form, and the clear market leader is already priced near fair with no value
Class 4 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Sunshine Star (6/4)
Won by: Dream Camp (IRE) at 9/1 · then Sunshine Star (GB)
What we said: four+ fillies (Capichera, Sunshine Star, Crystal Pier, Valkyrie Storm) all have legitimate claims and Capichera's soft/heavy sire preference clashes with today's fast ground, muddying the RP top pick
Class 6 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Fast Steps (5/2)
Won by: Super Hit (FR) at 3/1 · then Grey Fox (IRE), Danehill Star (IRE)
What we said: Class 6 handicap with 4+ credible claims (Fast Steps, Super Hit, Danehill Star, Guinness Lad all in-form), no runner's price clearly beats its fair%
Class 6 · 1m0f31y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Gladiadora (7/4)
Won by: Footstepinthewoods (IRE) at 6/1 · then Kondratiev Wave (IRE)
What we said: 7-runner Class 6 handicap with 4+ live claims (Spirit Of Breeze, Gladiadora, Flag Carrier, Footstepinthewoods) and no runner clearly overpriced vs its fair%
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
