17:45 Find Us At Fitzdares.com Apprentice Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 5 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Mythological Star (evn)
Won by: Mythological Star (IRE) at 2/1F · then Shady Bay (IRE)
What we said: Mythological Star sits on top of the market off a bang-up-to-date 8331 and a course win six days ago, but this drops to Good To Firm and its fact line shows no run on that going in four recorded starts alongside a step up from 8f to today's 10f, both genuine question marks I can't wave away at evens. Shady Bay's going and course figures look the tidiest of the rest but nothing separates her clearly enough from Just An Hour or Post Rider once you account for the drift on the latter and the sire-line going flags on Post Rider, so this is a field of unresolved fitness and surface questions rather than a bettable one.
18:15 Fitzdares Nursery Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 4 · 0m6f12y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Our bet: Harry Knows (11/8)
Won by: Keep Kicking On (IRE) at 7/2 · then Everatease (GB)
What we said: Won last time out at this exact course, distance and going (1/7 at 6f good-to-firm) and returns to the same test 14 days later, with the cheekpieces and a Mehmas pedigree that thrives on fast ground reinforcing the fit. Form of 24221 shows a horse racing consistently at a high level against this grade, and the trainer/jockey combination here reads well too.
18:45 Join Fitzdares For A Personal Service Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
We named the winnerClass 5 · 0m6f12y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Real Bullet (evn)
Won by: Real Bullet (GB) at 6/5 · then Wateera (IRE)
What we said: Real Bullet ticks every box on paper — won last time out at this course, this trip and on this exact going, with both sire and damsire flagged for fast ground — but that profile is exactly what has him at evens, and my own numbers only get him to fair, not ahead of it; add in that this specific Boughey/Loughnane pairing has run 2/8 for -24pts against the market in my own book, and there's no case for putting money on him at this price. Wateera looked professional finishing third last time and drops back to a trip she's already handled, but at 11/10 she needs to beat a fair chance that's basically the same number the market already has her at, so there's nothing there either — the rest of this six-runner field are 25/1+ no-hopers with no case at all.
19:15 Fitzdares Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 2 · 0m6f12y · Good To Firm · 16 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Badri (13/2)
Won by: Trefor (IRE) at 13/2 · then Diligently (GB), Indian Run (IRE), Dream Composer (FR)
What we said: Sixteen runners in this Fitzdares Final is exactly the kind of race where no single case stands clear: Badri arrives on a three-timer (617111) with fast-ground sire lines and solid course/distance figures, but he's 9 years old shouldering top weight of 9-12 in a stiff sprint handicap, while King Of Light owns the best speed figure in the field and is being backed in from 9.5 to 7.0 despite a flat run last time, and Another Abbot, Trefor and Sudden Flight all have live recent form too — too many plausible winners at workable prices for one to be worth staking on.
19:45 Fitzdares Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)
Did not winClass 5 · 1m0f31y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Princess Honey Bee (5/6)
Won by: Moonswept (GB) at 17/2 · then Mystic Music (GB), Sterling Fortune (GB)
What we said: Princess Honey Bee sits on top of the market off two solid efforts at today's trip and going (334-22, including a close-up 2nd last time), but she's still a maiden who hasn't won and is being asked to do it from an odds-on price, which leaves no room for the case to pay; Sterling Fortune and Somethingintheair both have plausible improvement angles (trip rise, upward form figures) but neither is strong enough to prefer over the favourite at their prices. With three fillies carrying live claims and the best of them too short to back, this is one to watch rather than play.
20:15 Listen To Track Radio Live Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 6 · 1m0f31y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: My Old Mate (evn)
Won by: My Old Mate (IRE) at 8/15F · then Torbados (GB), Creciente (GB)
What we said: My Old Mate sets up as the swing factor with a course-and-distance win last time out at this trip and going, but at evens there's no margin for error and three others — Karisma's Angel, Creciente and Torbados — all have live, recent form claims that muddy the read; with four runners genuinely competitive in a 6f-off-the-pace, low-grade handicap there's no runner whose price clearly undersells its chance.