What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1 · results held for 6
Class 4 · 0m6f20y · Standard · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Sequel Star (7/4)
Won by: Bated Benevolence (GB) at 5/4F · then Roosike (IRE), Sequel Star (IRE)
What we said: Three fillies (Bated Benevolence, Roosike, Sequel Star) all have legitimate claims and none offers value against their fair odds despite the Roosike steam
Class 5 · 0m6f20y · Standard · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Hierarchy (14/1)
Won by: King Of Chaos (IRE) at 15/2 · then Monsieur Kodi (IRE), Veil Of Clouds (GB)
What we said: 13-runner handicap with 4+ genuine contenders (Hierarchy, Fifty Nifty, Veydari, Monsieur Kodi) clustered on figures, no price stands out as clear value
Class 4 · 0m7f36y · Standard · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Korbut (9/4)
Won by: Carnival Of Light (GB) at 8/1 · then Korbut (GB), One Of The Boys (IRE)
What we said: two well-fancied runners (Korbut, Poets Praise) both sit near fair odds with no price disagreement, and 3+ unraced-form runners make this too murky to call
Class 5 · 7f36y · Standard · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Zarinca (10/1)
Won by: So Sassy (IRE) at 6/1 · then Eazy On The Eye (GB), Hamaleel (GB)
What we said: 11-runner filly handicap with drifting market signals on multiple leading contenders (Pickersgill, Moostar, Show Me Gold, Hamaleel all drifting) and no single overlaid steamer clearly standing out as value
Class 4 · 1m0f142y · Standard · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Go Rimbaud (5/6)
Won by: Go Rimbaud (GB) at 8/13F
What we said: three horses (Go Rimbaud, Chapter, On The Inlet) rate within a few points of each other and each is priced close to its fair odds, no genuine mispricing
Class 4 · 1m5f219y · Standard
We passed. Likely winner: Cabrera (13/2)
What we said: Class 4 staying handicap with 5+ genuine contenders (Cabrera, Heathen, Scottish Anthem, Mersea Island, St Mawes) on close figures and no standout price overlay
Class 4 · 0m7f36y · Standard · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Bone Marra (6/4)
Won by: Hungarian (IRE) at 18/1 · then Bone Marra (IRE), Espona Bay (IRE)
What we said: 10-runner Class 4 handicap with 4+ live contenders (Do Bronxs, Bone Marra, Applesandpears, Hungarian) and no runner shows a genuine overlay vs its fair%
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