What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
8 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
Class 5 · 2m4f · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Aslukgoes (5/2)
Won by: Mix Of Clover (GB) at 28/1 · then Aslukgoes (GB)
What we said: 7-runner handicap chase with 4 legitimate contenders (Aslukgoes, Captain Boudet, White Riot, Mix Of Clover) and no runner's price shows a real edge vs its fair%
Class 4 · 2m7f · Good · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Doyouknowwhatimean (11/2)
Won by: Edgewell (IRE) at 7/2 · then Grillon De Monty (FR)
What we said: Clear top-rated on figures (118) and heavily steamed in from 11.0 to 6.5 with a bookie overlay, but concedes weight and hasn't won in five starts
Class 4 · 2m4f · Good · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Regarde (3/1)
Won by: Regarde (IRE) at 3/1 · then Yellow Card (GB), Kiwi De Cotte (FR)
What we said: Market is split between the drifting favourite (still shortest price) and the steaming Regarde, with Yellow Card also holding claims; no single runner offers value versus its fair% once you strip out the vig
Class 2 · 2m4f · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Our Guide (6/4)
Won by: Miss Maverick (GB) at 13/2 · then Our Guide (IRE)
What we said: Our Guide is clearly the best-in-form runner but sits at 6/4, in line with fair odds (36%) — no market mispricing, just the market getting it right
Class 5 · 2m4f · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Little Ledgend (7/4)
Won by: Idaho Fire · then Mancero
What we said: low-grade Class 5 handicap hurdle with 10 runners, contradictory market signals (multiple steamers/drifters/overlays) and RP itself flags "confidence is low" between several legitimate contenders
Class 5 · 2m4f · Good · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: County Champs (4/1)
Won by: Boston Savr (IRE) at 13/2 · then Scintillante (GB)
What we said: 10-runner handicap with three unknown-fitness layoff returners, shifting top-weights, and RP itself rates confidence low with 4+ credible contenders — no single price stands out as true value
Class 5 · 2m · Good · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Best Night (15/8)
Won by: Lucy The Wire (IRE) at 3/1 · then No Risk Today (FR), Quick Of The Night (GB)
What we said: 8-runner handicap with 4+ mares carrying legitimate claims (Best Night, Mistral Milly, Lucy The Wire, Caterpillar Girl) and no runner shows a clear price overlay against fair%
Class 5 · 2m7f · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Oneinthewell (2/1)
Won by: Stiletto (GB) at 11/1 · then Oneinthewell (IRE), Fane Court (IRE)
What we said: 11-runner handicap with top weight Hold Your Fort drifting 20% (5.0→6.0) on market concerns despite RP's rating case, and no runner offers a clean edge vs fair%
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
