17:52 CopyBet BOG Today For Tomorrow's Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)
We named the winnerClass 5 · 2m4f · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Thickthorn Tom (8/11)
Won by: Thickthorn Tom (IRE) at 6/5F · then Thank You Blue (GB)
What we said: three runners drifting hard (Thank You Blue, Atreides, Keep Me Posted) while the well-formed favourite Thickthorn Tom is already priced to fair value, and the only real overlays (Suttons Hill, Atlanta Brave) carry too much inconsistency/small edge to trust as a genuine angle
18:27 CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)
Did not winClass 5 · 2m7f · Good · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: I'm A Starman (13/2)
Won by: Henry Box Brown (IRE) at 7/1 · then Huckleberry Sting (GB), Stay Hopeful (IRE)
What we said: Top-rated by the RP on figures, proven over today's trip, sire-line suits this going, and carries a genuine bookie overlay (+1.0 vs exchange) despite topping the market by 17lb.
19:02 Copybet Support Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
We named the winnerClass 4 · 2m7f0y · Good · 5 ran
Our bet: Jorah d'Alma (5/6)
Won by: Jorah D'alma (FR) at 1/1F · then Mr Rafiki (IRE)
What we said: de-vigged fair% (51%) is nearly double his raw price implies (11-4 ≈27%), a big overlay the market itself is flagging despite Loman Lady being nominal favourite
19:37 CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
We named the winnerClass 4 · 2m · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Square d'Alboni (4/5)
Won by: Square D'alboni (FR) at 4/11F · then Chemistry (IRE)
What we said: Square d'Alboni looks strong (form 37-1, T+J combo 22%) but at 4/5 there's no value, and Chemistry's fair price doesn't justify backing against the favourite
20:12 CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Hurdle Race
Did not winClass 5 · 2m7f · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Warner's Cross (13/2)
Won by: The Great Escape (IRE) at 4/1 · then Fane Court (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
20:47 Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race
We named the winnerClass 5 · 2m4f0y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Phantom Gold (11/8)
Won by: Phantom Gold (IRE) at 10/11F · then Shesonnet (IRE)
What we said: 8-runner handicap with 4+ credible claims (Shesonnet, Phantom Gold, Golden Glance, Dublinofficecallin) and top-rated Prince Imperial's huge overlay undermined by a 0PPP-P form line (pulled up repeatedly)
