Worcester — 22 July 2026

Class 5 · 2m4f0y · Good · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Traveling Soldier (5/1)

Won by: Holy Legend (GB) at 2/1F · then Traveling Soldier (IRE)

What we said: with the clear top-rated horse withdrawn, this is now a genuinely open 6-runner puzzle: four horses (A Little Something, Traveling Soldier, Greer Hill, Holy Legend) all have legitimate claims and none is priced far enough off my read to call value

Class 4 · 2m7f0y · Good · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Regal Renaissance (11/4)

Won by: Mt Fugi Park (IRE) at 14/1 · then Axel Bleue (GB), Regal Renaissance (GB)

What we said: 9-runner competitive handicap with 4+ horses (Mt Fugi Park, Regal Renaissance, Tiger Orchid, Court In A Storm, Gwash) holding legitimate claims and no runner clearly overpriced against my read

Class 4 · 2m · Good · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Provision (7/4)

Won by: Provision (GB) at 6/5F · then Iwanttobreakfree (GB), Faithful Guardian (IRE)

What we said: two joint 7/4 favourites (Iwanttobreakfree, Provision) split the market almost exactly, both already priced at/above their fair%, no third-choice value elsewhere

Class 4 · 2m0f0y · Good · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Penzance (5/4)

Won by: Without Burlington (GB) at 9/2 · then Penzance (GB), Earnest Belief (IRE)

What we said: 9-runner maiden hurdle with a short-priced favourite (Penzance) offering no value vs its own fair%, and several plausible types behind it (Earnest Belief, Without Burlington, Bound For Glory) with no runner clearly overpriced against my read

Class 4 · 2m0f0y · Good · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Kernie d'Airy (4/1)

Won by: Tilehurst (GB) at 7/2 · then Playful Fox (FR)

What we said: 7-runner handicap with five runners carrying recent-win or place claims (Mogul, Tilehurst, Kernie d'Airy, Ez Tiger, Playful Fox), no runner's price stands out as clearly wrong vs my own read

Class 5 · 2m4f0y · Good · 13 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Little Ledgend (5/2)

Won by: The Grayster (IRE) at 7/2 · then Little Ledgend (IRE), Gone In Sixty (GB)

What we said: 13-runner handicap hurdle with 4+ horses (Little Ledgend, Blue Universe, Estacas, Bashful Boy) holding legitimate claims and no runner clearly overpriced against my own read

Class 5 · 2m7f0y · Good · 10 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Back To Cali (11/8)

Won by: Mancero (FR) at 100/30 · then Citizen Jane (GB), Barry Fife (IRE)

What we said: 12-runner handicap hurdle with 4-5 genuinely competitive horses (Back To Cali, Catuaba, Barry Fife, Roxboro River, Spitalfield) all close on form/figures, no runner's price clearly beats my read of its chance