What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
Class 5 · 0m5f42y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
Won by: Adalida (GB) at 6/4F
What we said: 4-runner handicap with three legitimate claims (Ambishio, Adalida, Victor Cee) and the market actually favours Adalida over RP's top-rated Ambishio, no clean price edge
Class 5 · 0m7f3y · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Rogue Exile (5/2)
Won by: Splash (GB) at 5/1 · then Rogue Exile (IRE)
What we said: 5-runner maiden but 3 of 5 are unraced/no form, no genuine price-vs-fair edge (all favourites trading below their fair%), only "value" flag is a 14/1 shot with a 0%-strike trainer
Class 4 · 0m5f42y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: War Gaming (6/5)
Won by: Anchiano (IRE) at 25/1 · then Henley On Thames (IRE)
What we said: clear market leader steaming in from 2.8 to 2.2, strong recent form (2), goes well on fast ground and jockey Murphy in career-best form
Class 4 · 0m7f3y · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Dion Baker (7/2)
Won by: Tryst (IRE) at 8/1 · then Sea Suite (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 6 · 1m3f104y · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Spaceage Love Song (9/4)
Won by: Highland Harvey (IRE) at 6/5F · then Spaceage Love Song (IRE)
What we said: 7-runner Class 6 with no clear price value; Spaceage Love Song looks best on form but is trading near fair odds, no overlay to exploit
Class 6 · 0m6f3y · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Startled Lady (2/1)
Won by: Startled Lady (GB) at 5/2F · then Dark Side Thunder (GB)
What we said: 6-runner handicap but 4+ live contenders (fav Startled Lady, Viking Glory, Lieutenant Sir, Superstorm) each with a case, no single price stands out enough
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
