Yarmouth — 28 July 2026

Class 5 · 1m6f17y · Good To Firm · 3 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Educator (1/2)

Won by: Educator (GB) at 8/11F

What we said: three-runner event where the market has this essentially right: Educator's last two placed efforts and trip/going form make it the clear standout, but at 1/2 there's no price edge, and both rivals (Expressionless with three poor recent runs, Baltic sporting first-time headgear after a flat campaign) look fairly assessed rather than underpriced

Class 3 · 7f3y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Mithaaly (4/5)

Won by: Rocket Boy (IRE) at 22/1 · then Mithaaly (GB)

What we said: sits second favourite off a clear runner-up form line already, has a proven trainer at this course and a 15-day gap that suggests he's fresh and ready to step forward, and at fair odds of roughly 52% he looks the one to beat in a race where nothing else has any form on the board at all. The unraced/mystery form of Noble Prince and Note To Self keeps genuine risk in the race, but Mithaaly's already-shown quality on debut form gives him the clearest, most tangible edge over blank-form rivals.

Class 6 · 1m3y · Good To Firm · 5 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Heer's Sadie (8/1)

Won by: Luminous Warrior (IRE) at 4/6F · then Heer's Sadie (GB)

What we said: a solid second-to-fifth in her last two starts shows she stays competitive in this grade, and with the yard firing at 33% over the last fortnight plus a strong course record for the stable (a/e 1.39) and a 3lb claim taken off, I make her a genuine 18-20% shot against a fair price implying just 10%. She has today's trip and good ground fully covered from a placed effort not long ago, and the confidence from connections is a tangible plus even at this big price.

Class 6 · 1m2f23y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Nuptown Girl (6/1)

Won by: Divot (GB) at 10/11F · then Nuptown Girl (GB)

What we said: She's the most consistently placed horse in the field with two runs back a win and a third five starts back, and the yard/jockey combo here is running at 20% together, well clear of any rival pairing in this race. First-time cheekpieces add a touch of uncertainty but also upside given the trainer is clearly trying to sharpen her, and at 6/1 against a market-fair 13% she looks the value versus a short-priced favourite whose sire-line flags against today's fast ground.

Class 6 · 1m3f104y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Nymphaea (11/4)

Won by: Fletcher (GB) at 10/1 · then Charencey (IRE)

What we said: She's the only horse in this field with genuine winning form right now, following up a victory last time out as part of a progressive 432151 sequence, and she already has today's trip and going covered off a quick 7-day turnaround. I make her closer to a 32% chance given that upward trajectory, which is a shade above her market-implied figure, even allowing the bookie-above-exchange price should be treated with caution rather than as free value.

Class 6 · 0m7f3y · Good To Firm · 9 ran

Our bet: Thapa VC (5/2)

Won by: Thapa VC (IRE) at 100/30 · then Methgal (IRE), Way To Dubai (IRE)

What we said: Arrives in career-best form (343251), winning last time out and placing three starts back, and he's tied on top rating with the market elect while proven over today's C&D and going; the yard is warm (20% last-fortnight) and just 10 days since his last outing keeps him fresh and sharp. At 5/2 with a fair-odds read of 26%, his form trajectory argues he's a stronger price than the market currently allows.