What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2
Class 5 · 1m3f104y · Good To Firm · 3 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Shadow Brigade (9/4)
Won by: Brighton View (GB) at 1/2F
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 2 · 7f3y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Keep Grating (5/4)
Won by: Keep Grating (IRE) at 11/10F · then Telegraphic (GB), Cracking Idea (IRE)
What we said: Improving form figures (6-3-2) point to a colt still progressing, and the damsire line's proven affinity for fast ground fits today's Good to Firm underfoot conditions perfectly. Richard Hannon's yard is in strong current form and Joe Leavy takes the ride on a horse that looks the one to beat in a fairly workable nine-runner novice.
Class 6 · 7f3y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Valsharah (11/8)
Won by: Caitlin G (GB) at 22/1 · then Girls Allowed (IRE)
What we said: Rated well clear of this field on official figures and the return after just four days points to a yard that has him spot on, with the switch to first-time cheekpieces adding sharpness for a Dark Angel colt bred to relish this fast, firm ground. The 044224 form line shows he keeps knocking on the door in better company than this, and a drop into a race like this looks the spot to convert.
Class 6 · 1m3y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Guest House (15/8)
Won by: Guest House (IRE) at 1/1F · then Melting Snow (IRE)
What we said: Third on his most recent start after a below-par run in between, and that leaves a horse who won two starts back and is now dropping back into finishing form on a surface that plays to his International Dark Angel sire's strengths in this heat. He also carries the lightest weight of the market principals and looks the one shape improving into this rather than out of it.
Class 6 · 1m2f23y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: The Ubermensch (evn)
Won by: Nuptown Girl (GB) at 13/8 · then Risen Again (FR)
What we said: Improving form figures (624321) capped by a last-time-out win, first-time tongue-tie added, and a yard/jockey combo that performs above expectation at this course all point to a horse peaking at the right time. In a small, moderate-class field with no standout rival, the improving trajectory and course-specialist trainer give him the clearest route to victory today.
Class 6 · 0m5f42y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Papa Don't Preach (5/2)
Won by: Dragon God (GB) at 7/2 · then Papa Don't Preach (IRE)
What we said: Six straight runs in the frame (355393) show a horse that keeps turning up placed or better, and as a Kodiac gelding he's bred to relish this fast surface, with the yard in useful form at 23% over the last fortnight. He's the most reliable profile in a small, moderate Class 6 field where nothing else strings together this level of consistency.
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
