What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2
Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Big Cigar (4/1)
Won by: Big Cigar (IRE) · then Brandenburg (GB), Ballisty (IRE)
What we said: draw bias conflicts directly with form: top-rated Super Tuscan/Furturra/Dubai Champion sit in the disadvantaged low draws while Ballisty/Big Cigar/Brandenburg hold the favoured high draws, no single runner reconciles both angles or shows a clear price overlay
Class 2 · 7f192y · Good To Firm · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: The Lost King (5/1)
Won by: The Lost King (GB) · then Mr Swivell (GB), Checkandchallenge (GB)
What we said: 13-runner Class 2 handicap with 5+ legitimate contenders (Checkandchallenge, Cerulean Bay, Cosi Bello, Apiarist, The Lost King) and no single price stands out as overlaid vs fair%
Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Military Code (18/1)
Won by: Redorange (GB) at 12/1 · then Aspect Island (GB), Jm Jungle (IRE)
What we said: Favoured high draw (11) in a big straight sprint, biggest bookie-overlay flag (+2.0 vs exchange) in the race, and Wootton Bassett/Invincible Spirit line loves this fast ground
Class 2 · 1m2f56y · Good To Firm · 22 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Warrant Holder (7/2)
Won by: Raammee (GB) at 5/1 · then Hand Of God (GB), Castle Stuart (IRE), Danger Bay (IRE)
What we said: 22-runner competitive handicap, top weights drifting, no dominant angle isolates a winner
Class 4 · 2m56y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Treasure Islands (11/2)
Won by: Cruden (GB) · then Furhaan (GB), Trojan Sun (GB)
What we said: Class 4 stayers' handicap with 5+ legitimate contenders (Rock N Roll Pinkie, Cruden, Secret Force, Valley Of Flowers, Treasure Islands) and no single price standing out as clear value
Class 1 · 1m5f188y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Arabian Force (7/2)
Won by: Mount Atlas (GB) at 2/1 · then Tabletalk (IRE)
What we said: Group 3 with 4 legitimate contenders (Arabian Force, Epic Poet, Mount Atlas, Tabletalk) all tightly rated, no single price clearly overlaid vs fair
Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 19 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: First Folio (18/1)
Won by: Magic Boy (GER) at 6/1 · then Kats Bob (GB), Havana Rum (IRE), Almarada Prince (IRE)
What we said: Tops the RP figures by a clear margin, fast-ground Dark Angel sire fully vindicated by today's firm going, draws into the favoured high stall, and is a market steamer (23→19) — rare alignment of draw, going, form and money in a 20-runner sprint.
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
